Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 66.3%
Prognostiker
14
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet14. März 26, 07:32 UTC1. Feb. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who will Donald Trump endorse in the 2028 presidential election?
KalshiWho will Trump endorse?
PolymarketWho will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?
PolymarketHow many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (9/19-9/25)
KalshiWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro?
KalshiWhich party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves YES if Donald Trump endorses JD Vance for president before polls open on Super Tuesday in 2028.
- Resolves NO otherwise, unless Trump dies before 2028, in which case it resolves N/A. To avoid ambiguity in case the Super Tuesday tradition changes: Super Tuesday is defined for the purposes of this market as the first day in which at least eight states (or DC/territories) hold Republican presidential primaries/caucuses.
- If no such day occurs by the time that at least twenty states (or DC/territories) have held Republican presidential primaries/caucuses, resolves to whether or not Trump has endorsed Vance by the time of the twentieth such primary/caucus.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.1pt17%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt16%
+48 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mrd. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,7 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.6%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 193,8 Mio. €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 598.433,8 €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.9pt91%
- Republican Party-1.1pt9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 29,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 425.619,9 €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep59.2%
- D-House, R-Senate30.6%
- Republicans sweep-0.4pt9.2%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 14,8 Mio. €
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December+2.5pt25%
- October+1.5pt18%
- September 30,-0.1pt6%
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Trump endorse Vance by Super Tuesday in 2028??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 66% (Stand: 21. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Trump endorse Vance by Super Tuesday in 2028? entschieden?
- Will Trump endorse Vance by Super Tuesday in 2028? soll am 1. Februar 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Trump endorse Vance by Super Tuesday in 2028? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES if Donald Trump endorses JD Vance for president before polls open on Super Tuesday in 2028.