Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?
0.5 Pkt. (24h)PolitikOne-OffUS-PolitikWahl2J
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J.D. Vance · —
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Aktualisiert vor 19 Minuten
30. Juli 26, 18:59 UTC7. Nov. 28, 04:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve according to the first individual that the named outcome endorses for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential Election.
- An endorsement is defined as a statement by the named outcome that i) is made publicly (e.g., through a press release, an on-the-record interview, a speech, a campaign event, a post from a verified account on social media); ii) explicitly and unambiguously expresses unique support for an individual as a candidate for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election; and iii) is characterized by a consensus of credible reporting as an official endorsement by the named outcome of the individual for President in the 2028 United States presidential election.
- An endorsement of an individual for the Republican Party’s nomination to the 2028 United States Presidential election will qualify.
- Endorsements of a candidate for the Democratic Party's nomination without also endorsing that candidate for President in the general election will not qualify.
- The following will not be considered endorsements: positive or favorable comments about a candidate without a clear public statement of direct support; conditional statements giving support only if certain conditions are met; statements equally expressing support for multiple candidates (e.g., “I support Marco and J.D.”); statements expressing opposition to a candidate without endorsing any candidate; private or non-public statements; and statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support.
- An endorsement of a ticket comprising a presidential candidate and a vice-presidential candidate constitutes a qualifying endorsement only of the individual endorsed for President.