Which states will vote before Super Tuesday in the 2028 Democratic Party primaries?
PolitikOne-OffUS-PolitikWahl2J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseGeorgia 69.2%Führend unter 13 Optionen
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5
Fragetyp
multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
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Veraltet22. Jan. 26, 21:36 UTC2. Nov. 28, 03:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- Market resolves YES for every state that holds a primary or caucus before Super Tuesday.
- A state resolves NO if it votes after or on Super Tuesday.
- Super Tuesday will be counted as "the United States Democratic presidential primary election day when the greatest number of U.S. states hold primary elections and caucuses." The primary or caucus has to be approved by the DNC, so something like the named outcome's 2024 primary wouldn't count.
- If the DNC decides to hold a national-primary or something like that, then I'll just N/A every option.
- Options resolve when a state is confirmed to be voting or on Super Tuesday NOT when the DNC releases a schedule.
