Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 89.7%
Prognostiker
35
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet4. Juli 25, 17:26 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Did the 2026 LA mayoral primary have election fraud?
Manifold MarketsHow many states will Trump claim the midterms were rigged in?
Manifold MarketsDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiTrump out as President by September 30?
PolymarketPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketRegeln
Any Trump statement/tweet/truth/etc claiming election fraud/theft/rigging as the results of the midterms come out.
- Only statements by Trump himself will be considered, not members of his admin.
- I will bet on this market.
- Update 2025-07-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A statement that only expresses suspicion, such as "very suspicious", without explicitly claiming fraud, theft, or rigging, will not be sufficient for a YES resolution.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom13.5%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 193,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 710.810,1 €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 584.570,8 €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.3pt91.1%
- Republican Party-0.7pt8.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 29,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 407.519,2 €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep-0.6pt9%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 14,9 Mio. €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.8pt3%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December+0.5pt21%
- October+0.5pt13%
- September 30,-0.3pt4%
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Brazil Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Trump claim election fraud in the 2026 midterms??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 90% (Stand: 21. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Trump claim election fraud in the 2026 midterms? entschieden?
- Will Trump claim election fraud in the 2026 midterms? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Trump claim election fraud in the 2026 midterms? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Any Trump statement/tweet/truth/etc claiming election fraud/theft/rigging as the results of the midterms come out.