Will there be an AI loss of control incident that causes over $100 million in damages in 2026?
KIOne-Off2Mon
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 79.5%
Prognostiker
30
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 49 Minuten
Verzogert1. Apr. 26, 07:52 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What'll Be My P(Loss of Control before 2100) In Jan 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028?
KalshiWhat'll Be My P(Loss of Control before 2100) In Jan 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhat'll Be My P(Loss of Control before 2100) In Jan 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhat'll Be My P(Loss of Control before 2100) In Jan 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
This description was generated by AI.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if there is a credible, documented incident in 2026 where an AI system loses control and directly causes over $100 million in damages. "Loss of control" means the AI system operates in ways not intended by its developers, evades human oversight, or behaves autonomously in harmful ways.
- Damages must be quantifiable and directly attributable to the AI system's uncontrolled behaviour—including financial losses, property damage, infrastructure damage, or economic harm from market disruptions.
- Resolution sources include: official incident databases (AI Incident Database, MIT AI Incident Tracker), regulatory filings, court documents, financial disclosures, and credible news reporting from major outlets.
- The incident must be publicly documented by December 31, 2026.