Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 92.5%
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6. Nov. 24, 17:50 UTC1. Jan. 29, 22:59 UTC
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I'll resolve this question to my P(Loss of Control before 2100) at the start of 2029.
- Reusable definitions:
- "Loss of Control" captures all scenarios where the long-term future does not contain large amounts of value because of humanity.
- "Before 2100" adds a time cutoff in case no singularity or extinction events happen until end of century.
- Examples and counterexamples:
- Asteroid wipes out Earth = Loss of control
