Will the wild population of North Atlantic Right Whale (Eubalaena glacialis) become Extinct by 2100?
One-OffWissenschaftManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 81.5%
Prognostiker
2
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet24. Apr. 26, 11:49 UTC31. Dez. 99, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the North Atlantic Right Whale (Eubalaena glacialis) become extinct in the current century?
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KalshiRegeln
This market focuses on the extinction risk of the wild population of the North Atlantic Right Whale.
- The species is classified as “Critically Endangered” on the IUCN Red List (last assessment: 2020).
- As of 2025 the wild population counted about 380 individuals, and there were no captive individuals.
- The market will resolve YES, if the species is declared Extinct in the Wild or Extinct by the IUCN by 2100, or earlier.
- It will also resolve YES, if there is other strong evidence in 2100 that the wild population is extinct.
- The market will resolve NO, if there is strong evidence in 2100, that the wild population of the species persists.