Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 72.8%
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Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet7. Aug. 26, 03:45 UTC31. Dez. 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Faster S&P 500 Crash than the Dotcom Bubble before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill AI cause the US Unemployment Rate to exceed 10% before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the US unemployment rate exceed 10% again before 2030?
Manifold MarketsUS unemployment rate at year-end 2029
KalshiWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.4% in September 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.3% in June 2027?
ForecastExRegeln
The US unemployment rate reached 6.3% in June 2003.
- Will it exceed this level before 2030?
Offene Märkte
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 89,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,7 Mio. €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 541.193 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 30.705,7 €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 334.228 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 12.782,3 €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt53.9%
- September Meeting+1.0pt46.1%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.5pt51.4%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.3%
- 0.1%-1.5pt10.5%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 77.923 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 5527,9 €
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- August Inflation US - Annual
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the US Unemployment Rate Exceed Dotcom Bubble Levels before 2030??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 73% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the US Unemployment Rate Exceed Dotcom Bubble Levels before 2030? entschieden?
- Will the US Unemployment Rate Exceed Dotcom Bubble Levels before 2030? soll am 31. Dezember 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the US Unemployment Rate Exceed Dotcom Bubble Levels before 2030? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: The US unemployment rate reached 6.3% in June 2003.