Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 51.9%
Prognostiker
6
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 51 Minuten
Verzogert7. Aug. 26, 04:07 UTC31. Dez. 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the US Unemployment Rate Exceed Dotcom Bubble Levels before 2030?
Manifold MarketsAI bubble burst by which date?
PolymarketWill the AI bubble pop in 2026?
Manifold MarketsAI BUBBLE? Which AI companies will drop >60% from their peak in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich bubble bursts first?
MyriadAI bubble pops in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
The S&P 500 dropped 25.3% in one year from its peak of 1518 in August 2000 to 1134 in August 2001.
- Resolves yes if the S&P drops 25.4% or more over a period of a year or less before 2030.
- Only closing prices count.
