Warnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 25.10.2026, 10:30 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Oracle 100%Führend unter 21 Optionen
Prognostiker
160
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+13.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet15. Nov. 25, 17:14 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the AI bubble pop in 2026?
Manifold MarketsAI bubble burst by which date?
PolymarketAI bubble pops in 2026?
Manifold MarketsAI Bubble (props)
Manifold MarketsWill Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Is there an AI bubble? Which AI companies are going to drop when the bubble pops?
- Add your own companies, preferably at least loosely AI related
- Peak doesn’t have to be in 2026.
- Any 60% drop from ATH qualifies
- [cleaned up description as none of the pre-2026 stuff is relevant anymore]
- Update 2026-02-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Price measurement: Resolution will use close prices only (not intraday prices) when determining if a company has dropped >60% from its peak.