Will the US impose antidumping duties on Russian palladium imports by the end of 2026?
Russia / UkraineOne-OffKITrade PolicyCommodities3MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 98%
Prognostiker
4
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Stunden
Veraltet16. Feb. 26, 18:33 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will palladium prices increase by more than 5% due to U.S. antidumping duties on Russian supply by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the full AD/CVD case on Russian palladium result in a duty order by Oct 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS to impose tariffs on Denmark's imports before the 2028 elections?
FutuurChina vs US: who will be first to impose a ban on releasing open weight AIs above a certain threshold?
Manifold MarketsWill the United States impose additional tariffs on EU by December 31, 2026?
ForecastExWill the United States impose additional tariffs on South Korea by December 31, 2026?
ForecastExRegeln
Resolution criteria: Resolve YES if the U.S. Department of Commerce publishes an antidumping duty order on unwrought palladium imports from Russia (HTS 7110.21.0000) in the Federal Register by December 31, 2026.
- Background: On February 10, 2026, Commerce announced a preliminary antidumping determination with a 132.83% margin for the Russia-wide entity.
- For a final duty order to be issued, BOTH of the following must occur:
- Commerce final affirmative determination (expected ~April 28, 2026)
- USITC final affirmative injury determination (expected ~June-September 2026)
- ✅ Feb 10, 2026: Preliminary AD determination (132.83% rate)
Offene Märkte
Russia / Ukraine
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)+0.4pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.5pt3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 335.078,3 €
POLYMARKETRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
- United Russia (ER)+0.7pt100%
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)-0.2pt0%
- A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)0%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 202714%
- December7%
- September 30,-0.1pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 19,9 Mio. €
POLYMARKETKanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- No-5.5pt75%
- Yes+5.5pt25%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 345.459,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 45.315,1 €
POLYMARKETBank of Russia decision in September?
- No Change+1.5pt69.3%
- Decrease27.7%
- Increase-0.1pt3%
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETRussia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
- No+0.1pt99%
- Yes-0.1pt1%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 516.675,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 43.007,5 €
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Will Russia capture Orikhiv by which date?
- Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
- Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the US impose antidumping duties on Russian palladium imports by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 98% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the US impose antidumping duties on Russian palladium imports by the end of 2026? entschieden?
- Will the US impose antidumping duties on Russian palladium imports by the end of 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the US impose antidumping duties on Russian palladium imports by the end of 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria: Resolve YES if the U.S. Department of Commerce publishes an antidumping duty order on unwrought palladium imports from Russia (HTS 7110.21.0000) in the Federal Register by December 31, 2026.