Will Trump deploy federal law enforcement to crack down on protests by "radical left lunatics" by X date?
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Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
January 20, 2029 (Whole term) 49.4%Führend unter 5 Optionen
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Verzogert7. Nov. 24, 19:29 UTC21. Jan. 29, 02:59 UTC
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Resolves YES if the Trump admin deploys federal law enforcement or the military to crack down on a protest by "radical left lunatics"
- I am defining crackdown here to mean a severe retaliation for a protest and/or riot, not necessarily done by any political affiliation (to not complicate the resolution criteria).
- This either means:
- 500+ arrests and/or 100+ injuries in a day across the US
- 2,000+ arrests and/or 400+ injuries in any 7-day period across the US
- (For reference, BLM protests and riots following George Floyd's death saw 14,000 arrests in ~a month)
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Trump deploy federal law enforcement to crack down on protests by "radical left lunatics" by X date??
- Manifold Markets bewertet January 20, 2029 (Whole term) mit 49% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Trump deploy federal law enforcement to crack down on protests by "radical left lunatics" by X date? entschieden?
- Will Trump deploy federal law enforcement to crack down on protests by "radical left lunatics" by X date? soll am 21. Januar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Trump deploy federal law enforcement to crack down on protests by "radical left lunatics" by X date? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES if the Trump admin deploys federal law enforcement or the military to crack down on a protest by "radical left lunatics"