Will Trump deploy federal law enforcement to crack down on protests by "radical left lunatics" by X date?
PolitikGeopolitik2J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
January 20, 2029 (Whole term) 33.6%Führend unter 5 Optionen
January 20, 2029 (Whole term) 33.6%Prognostiker
53
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 48 Minuten
Verzogert7. Nov. 24, 19:29 UTC21. Jan. 29, 02:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What is the largest number of people US federal law enforcement will kill in a single incident before January 20, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump deploy the US military to the Panama Canal?
Manifold MarketsIf protestors get shot by law enforcement during Trump's second term will his net approval rating go up?
Manifold MarketsWill Meta provide the content of a WhatsApp message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill 3 mg THC beverages qualify as hemp under federal law?
KalshiUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves YES if the Trump admin deploys federal law enforcement or the military to crack down on a protest by "radical left lunatics"
- I am defining crackdown here to mean a severe retaliation for a protest and/or riot, not necessarily done by any political affiliation (to not complicate the resolution criteria).
- This either means:
- 500+ arrests and/or 100+ injuries in a day across the US
- 2,000+ arrests and/or 400+ injuries in any 7-day period across the US
- (For reference, BLM protests and riots following George Floyd's death saw 14,000 arrests in ~a month)