Will 3 mg THC beverages qualify as hemp under federal law?
RegulierungOne-OffGesundheit & Medizin1Mon
KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
On Nov 13, 2026 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
Orderbuch empfangen (nicht Kurszeit der Börse): —
Gespeicherter Preis
On Nov 13, 2026 Gespeicherter Geld–Brief-Kurs89%–94%Erfasst: Letzter Handel: 95% · Handelszeit unbekanntPreise in Prozent der Auszahlung, vor Gebühren; diese gespeicherten Beobachtungen sind keine ausführbaren Kurse.Führend unter 4 Optionen
On Nov 13, 2026 Gespeicherter Geld–Brief-Kurs89%–94%Erfasst: Letzter Handel: 95% · Handelszeit unbekanntPreise in Prozent der Auszahlung, vor Gebühren; diese gespeicherten Beobachtungen sind keine ausführbaren Kurse.Marktqualitat
48 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Open Interest
17.427,6 €
Mittleres Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
On Nov 13, 2026Spread
—
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 26 Minuten
19. Aug. 26, 20:45 UTC14. Nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · On Nov 13, 2026
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
Orderbuch empfangen (nicht Kurszeit der Börse): —
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
KalshiWill hemp-derived CBN sleep products still be federally legal as “hemp” on Nov 12, 2026?
Manifold MarketsIntoxicating hemp-derived THC products federally banned in U.S. by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any U.S. Federal Law Enforcement entity publicly classify one suspect as an nihilistic violent extremist?
Manifold MarketsCalifornia's Federal Law Enforcement Mask Ban (SB 627) Prop Bets
Manifold MarketsSeltzers with 5mg THC legal on?
PolymarketRegeln
If, as of 11:59 PM ET on Dec 10, 2026, federal law treats a hemp-derived beverage intended for human ingestion containing 3 milligrams or more of Total THC per Container as lawful hemp excluded from the Controlled Substances Act definition of marihuana rather than as a Schedule I controlled substance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The determinative question is whether the 3-milligram Total THC level qualifies as lawful hemp under federal controlled-substance law at 11:59 PM ET on the Resolution Date. FDA food-safety, labeling, or other regulation outside the Controlled Substances Act does not by itself affect resolution, and state law does not affect resolution. Total THC is measured under the federal statutory standard in effect at the relevant time: delta-9 THC plus 0.877 times THCA, plus any other THC isomers included in the applicable federal statutory measure. A legally effective federal regime that leaves or makes a beverage containing 3 milligrams of Total THC per Container lawful hemp may resolve the market Yes, including continuation of the pre-Section 781 hemp definition, enacted federal legislation, a final federal regulation carrying the force of law, or nationwide federal court relief blocking enforcement of Section 781 of Public Law 119-37. Proposed or unenacted legislation or rules, informal federal non-enforcement or enforcement discretion, state action, and court relief limited to particular plaintiffs, products, sellers, or districts do not qualify. Only statutes, regulations, and court orders issued and legally effective by 11:59 PM ET on the Resolution Date are considered. An instrument whose operative provisions take effect only after that time does not qualify. Later corrections, amendments, or court decisions do not change resolution, even if they purport to apply retroactively. If no qualifying condition is in effect at the snapshot, the market resolves No.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- On Nov 13, 2026
- If, as of 11:59 PM ET on Nov 13, 2026, federal law treats a hemp-derived beverage intended for human ingestion containing 3 milligrams or more of Total THC per Container as lawful hemp excluded from the Controlled Substances Act definition of marihuana rather than as a Schedule I controlled substance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- On Dec 10, 2026
- If, as of 11:59 PM ET on Dec 10, 2026, federal law treats a hemp-derived beverage intended for human ingestion containing 3 milligrams or more of Total THC per Container as lawful hemp excluded from the Controlled Substances Act definition of marihuana rather than as a Schedule I controlled substance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- On Nov 19, 2027
- If, as of 11:59 PM ET on Nov 19, 2027, federal law treats a hemp-derived beverage intended for human ingestion containing 3 milligrams or more of Total THC per Container as lawful hemp excluded from the Controlled Substances Act definition of marihuana rather than as a Schedule I controlled substance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- On Mar 13, 2027
- If, as of 11:59 PM ET on Mar 13, 2027, federal law treats a hemp-derived beverage intended for human ingestion containing 3 milligrams or more of Total THC per Container as lawful hemp excluded from the Controlled Substances Act definition of marihuana rather than as a Schedule I controlled substance, then the market resolves to Yes.