Will the Trade deficit of the US be 10% lower at the end of Trump’s 2nd term

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Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 75% (Stand: 25. Oktober 2026).

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Will the Trade deficit of the US be 10% lower at the end of Trump’s 2nd term soll am 5. November 2028 entschieden werden.

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POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change+2.0pt95%
• 25 bps increase-2.0pt5%
• 25 bps decrease0%

+2 weitere Ergebnisse

Gesamtvolumen

56,3 Mio. €

24h-Volumen

1,4 Mio. €

POLYMARKET

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

• Hike–Pause–Hike+0.5pt74.3%
• Hike–Pause–Pause-1.0pt20.8%
• Hike–Hike–Hike-0.8pt2%

+6 weitere Ergebnisse

POLYMARKET

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

• Yes+2.5pt76.2%
• No-2.5pt23.8%

Gesamtvolumen

946.417,9 €

24h-Volumen

16.419,2 €

POLYMARKET

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

• 2 (50 bps)+2.0pt72.3%
• 1 (25 bps)22.8%
• 3 (75 bps)-2.1pt5%

+3 weitere Ergebnisse

KALSHI

CPI YoY in December

• Above 3.0%96.5%
• Above 3.1%95.5%
• Above 3.3%94.5%

KALSHI

US used cars and trucks CPI for October

• Above 17855.5%
• Above 179-7.0pt94%
• Above 180-27.0pt21%

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