Will the post-April 2026 frontier models be private models / sold to corps [ThePrimeagen prediction]

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Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 93.4% (Stand: 27. Oktober 2026).

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Will the post-April 2026 frontier models be private models / sold to corps [ThePrimeagen prediction] soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.

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Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: resolves to whether this tweet is mostly true according to people I know who think seriously about AI, if at all ambiguous

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POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+3.0pt56%
• Google-2.5pt34%
• OpenAI+0.2pt6%

+12 weitere Ergebnisse

Gesamtvolumen

2,9 Mio. €

24h-Volumen

159.845,1 €

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+3.6pt59.2%
• Gemini-2.1pt30.1%
• ChatGPT+0.3pt

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+5.5pt92.9%
• Anthropic-1.4pt7.1%
• Alibaba+0.1pt0%

+18 weitere Ergebnisse

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 202796.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt95%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+2.0pt

POLYMARKET

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?

• December 31-6.5pt80%
• December 15-0.5pt75%
• November 3056%

+5 weitere Ergebnisse

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,-1.0pt94%
• December 15,-2.0pt92%
• November 30,-4.0pt89%

+15 weitere Ergebnisse

• Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Best AI in Oct 2026?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Best AI this week
• Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?
• Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
• Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?