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Veraltet20. Mai 26, 04:22 UTC1. Okt. 26, 04:20 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the next full gemini model be as good as opus 4.7 or gpt 5.5 at coding?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWhich companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
KalshiRegeln
resolves to my impression a week or two after launch and I've had the opportunity to try it out. i should want to use it just as much as openai’s model and anthropic’s for coding mnx.fi.
- Flash/instant/mini doesn't count.
- Should be pro or similar. 3.2 pro-preview, 3.5 pro, 4 pro all okay
- Update 2026-05-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Speed considerations: If a Gemini model lacks a fast tier (e.g., like Opus's fast tier) and that alone causes the creator to prefer other models, that is not sufficient to resolve NO.
- However, the model must still be reasonably fast to be considered frontier.
Offene Märkte
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 135.247,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 102.709,4 €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 324.994,1 €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the next full gemini model be frontier at coding??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 86% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the next full gemini model be frontier at coding? entschieden?
- Will the next full gemini model be frontier at coding? soll am 1. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the next full gemini model be frontier at coding? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: resolves to my impression a week or two after launch and I've had the opportunity to try it out. i should want to use it just as much as openai’s model and anthropic’s for coding mnx.fi.