Will the Houthis attack Saudi Arabia again before September 15, 2026?
GeopolitikOne-OffPolitikMiddle EastManifold MarketsGeschlossenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt ist geschlossen und wartet auf eine bestätigte Auflösung.
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Aktuelle Community-Prognose🟡 Limited attack — A minor attack occurs without major damage. 38.5%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Prognostiker
9
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+28.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Tagen
Veraltet13. Sept. 26, 12:31 UTC14. Sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
38.5%
21.2%
18.8%
6.8%
2.7%
2.7%
2.7%
2.7%
2.7%
1.1%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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Kalshi[ACX 2026] Will Saudi Arabia and Israel agree to normalise diplomatic relations during 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This is a dependent multiple-choice market.
- Only one option will resolve to YES, and all other options will resolve to NO.
- This market resolves based on events occurring between the creation of this market and September 15, 2026, at 12:00 AM (00:00) UTC.
- The options will resolve as follows:
- the named outcome: Resolves YES if a documented Houthi attack (missile, drone, or ground raid) strikes Saudi Arabian territory and causes significant, verified damage to critical installations, such as oil refineries, pipelines, airports, or military bases.