Will the FY2028 deficit be lower than the FY2024 deficit?
InflationOne-OffMacro & EconomyUS Politics2J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 70.1%
Prognostiker
13
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet21. Nov. 24, 03:35 UTC1. Okt. 28, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
DOGE cuts $1T federal deficit by FY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Trade deficit of the US be 10% lower at the end of Trump’s 2nd term
Manifold MarketsUS trade deficit for 2027
KalshiUS trade deficit for 2032
KalshiUS trade deficit for 2031
KalshiWill there be nationwide price controls or rationing of consumer goods by 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
The United States FY2024 deficit was around $1,832,816,000,000 ($1.8 trillion).
- Will the FY2028 (ends September 30, 2028) deficit be lower?
- Data source: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYFSD
Offene Märkte
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 91 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,7 Mio. €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 569.721,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 47.363,9 €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 359.180,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+3.0pt54.5%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.5%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,900+1.0pt82%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 79.709 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+5.0pt86%
- Above 0.2%36%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 18.267,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 7302,2 €
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- CPI in September
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI-U index in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Core CPI YoY - August 2026
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the FY2028 deficit be lower than the FY2024 deficit??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 70% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the FY2028 deficit be lower than the FY2024 deficit? entschieden?
- Will the FY2028 deficit be lower than the FY2024 deficit? soll am 1. Oktober 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the FY2028 deficit be lower than the FY2024 deficit? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: The United States FY2024 deficit was around $1,832,816,000,000 ($1.8 trillion).