Will the first run that solves a Millennium Prize Problem cost over $1M in inference compute
One-OffKITechnikWissenschaft14JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 95.4%
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Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
12. Juli 26, 18:40 UTC31. Dez. 40, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the first AI-driven computation (inference run) that successfully solves one of the six remaining Millennium Prize Problems is publicly documented or estimated to have cost over $1,000,000 USD in compute resource for inference.
- It resolves to NO if the first successful AI solver's run costs $1,000,000 USD or less, or if the first verified solution is found by a human without the direct output of an AI inference system.
- Definitions and Details:
- Millennium Prize Problems: The six remaining unsolved problems designated by the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI):
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the first run that solves a Millennium Prize Problem cost over $1M in inference compute?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 95% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the first run that solves a Millennium Prize Problem cost over $1M in inference compute entschieden?
- Will the first run that solves a Millennium Prize Problem cost over $1M in inference compute soll am 31. Dezember 2040 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the first run that solves a Millennium Prize Problem cost over $1M in inference compute abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria