Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseYES, and she will be the second Chinese citizen to walk on the Moon 35.9%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Prognostiker
7
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet22. Aug. 25, 03:06 UTC31. Dez. 30, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
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PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This resolves on China’s first crewed mission that successfully lands taikonauts on the lunar surface (soft landing achieved; mere lunar orbit or aborts don’t count).
- Outcome is determined from official post-mission reports/broadcasts by CMSA/Xinhua/CCTV; if unavailable, reputable wire services (Reuters/AP) may be used.
- “the named outcome” if a woman is the first to step onto the lunar surface on that mission, per official timeline/coverage.
- “the named outcome” if a woman steps onto the surface after a male crewmate from the same mission has already done so.
- “the named outcome” if a woman is assigned to that mission but does not ride the lander and stays in lunar orbit.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the first Chinese crewed mission to land on the Moon include a woman??
- Manifold Markets bewertet YES, and she will be the second Chinese citizen to walk on the Moon mit 36% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the first Chinese crewed mission to land on the Moon include a woman? entschieden?
- Will the first Chinese crewed mission to land on the Moon include a woman? soll am 31. Dezember 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the first Chinese crewed mission to land on the Moon include a woman? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria