Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja 63%
Marktqualitat
72 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
129,9 €
Liquidität
29.351,9 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
61.0% / 63.0%
Spread
3.3%
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 23 Minuten
21. Feb. 25, 15:001. Jan. 30, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes63%
Plattformen vergleichen· Yes
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Mittel | 63% | — | 129,9 € | 29.351,9 € | vor 23 Minuten | |
 Manifold Markets88% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | — | 63% | — | — | — | vor 34 Tagen | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?
5Mon
62.8%
37.2%
Community-Prognose36 PrognostikerTyp: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
If Blue Origin lands an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship as well as before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$1482. Juli25T Daten26. Juli
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If Blue Origin lands an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship as well as before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.