PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 84%-1.0pt
Marktqualitat
38 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
279,8 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
12.0% / 20.0%
Spread
8.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
4
7d-Änderung
+4.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
1. Juni 26, 17:14 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Starship reach Earth orbit before the Blue Origin Lunar Lander?
Manifold MarketsBlue Origin worth more than SpaceX by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsAnother Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?
PolymarketWill New Glenn (Blue Origin) reach Mars before Starship/Falcon (SpaceX)
Manifold MarketsWill Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
KalshiWhen will Blue Origin launch New Shepard
KalshiRegeln
If any Blue Origin New Glenn rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- New Glenn rocket refers to any Blue Origin rocket publicly identified by Blue Origin as New Glenn, including any newly manufactured, rebuilt, replacement, or reused New Glenn vehicle.
- The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by Blue Origin, as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
- Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., explosion or failed ascent) after the initial liftoff will have no bearing on the outcome.
- Any name change or rebranding of New Glenn will have no bearing on this market’s resolution.
