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Veraltet19. Mai 23, 18:02 UTC1. Jan. 30, 00:59 UTC
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Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
KalshiWill Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?
Manifold MarketsWill Blue Origin's first Blue Moon HLS mission successfully land on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
KalshiWill Starship reach Earth orbit before the Blue Origin Lunar Lander?
Manifold MarketsBlue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Both SpaceX and Blue Origin are planning to send demo landers to the moon, before their crewed missions for Artemis III and V respectively.
- Even before the official uncrewed demo landing Blue Origin is planning to send two pathfinder landers to the moon, in 2024 and 2025.
- These BO landers might not actually look like the Artemis mission lander.
- They will likely be the small "Blue Moon" landers, not the lander that got awarded the Appendix P contract.
- Nevertheless, these landers count for the purposes of this market.
- Starship's uncrewed demo landing is scheduled for 2024, according to NASA's timeline.
Offene Märkte
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,750 or above99%
- $73,750 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
+77 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,1 Mio. €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 160-179+19.0pt57%
- 180-199-5.5pt35%
- 200-219-6.8pt5%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
- $68,500 or above98%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 319.926 €
KALSHIWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Before April 2027+7.0pt68.3%
- Before March 2027-3.0pt19.2%
- Before February 2027+2.0pt8.3%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 10, 2026?
- New York City+68.0pt99%
- Boston+46.0pt99%
- Oklahoma City+11.0pt99%
+19 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
LIMITLESSAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down - Daily
- No50.6%
- Yes49.4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 217.232,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 215.185,8 €
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Starship land on the moon before Blue Origin does??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 71% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Starship land on the moon before Blue Origin does? entschieden?
- Will Starship land on the moon before Blue Origin does? soll am 1. Januar 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Starship land on the moon before Blue Origin does? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Both SpaceX and Blue Origin are planning to send demo landers to the moon, before their crewed missions for Artemis III and V respectively.