Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 77.8%
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Fragetyp
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet21. Mai 24, 18:31 UTC28. Mai 50, 21:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
By EOY 2026, will it seem as if deep learning hit a wall by EOY 2025?
Manifold MarketsWill "The paper that killed deep learning theory" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a publicly explicated Scientific Theory of Deep Learning before 2032?
Manifold MarketsWill Gary Marcus still say that deep learning models can't reason after they prove the Riemann hypothesis?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRegeln
Definition of AGI is taken from this question: https://manifold.markets/ManifoldAI/agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708?r=SWhvcktlbmRpdWtob3Y