Will Gary Marcus still say that deep learning models can't reason after they prove the Riemann hypothesis?
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Ja 70.9%
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Veraltet3. Jan. 25, 14:39 UTC1. Jan. 50, 22:59 UTC
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Will the first valid proofs of the Collatz Conjecture and the Riemann Hypothesis occur within 12 months of one another?
Manifold MarketsWill Riemann hypothesis be proven or refuted before 2050?
Manifold MarketsIn 2028, will Gary Marcus still be able to get LLMs to make egregious errors?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
KalshiFurther substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by which date?
PolymarketWill CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Gary Marcus has made a public statement suggesting that deep learning models are not capable of reasoning after a valid proof of the Riemann hypothesis has been made public.
- The underlying mathematics of this proof must have been generated/discovered by an AI system which leverages deep learning as one of its core mechanisms.
- Limited human authorship on top of the AI-discovered proof regarding the original publication is permissible provided this extends only to things such as formatting, ordering and explanations of various steps.
- This must take place before January 1st 2050 in order for this question to resolve as YES.
- If a qualifying proof is made public, and Gary Marcus makes such a statement between the time of publication and the time when the proof is broadly considered as being valid by the mathematics community, then this question resolves YES (provided that this proof becomes considered valid before 2050).
- If no such credible proof is published before January 1st 2050, then this question resolves as NO.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Gary Marcus still say that deep learning models can't reason after they prove the Riemann hypothesis??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 71% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Gary Marcus still say that deep learning models can't reason after they prove the Riemann hypothesis? entschieden?
- Will Gary Marcus still say that deep learning models can't reason after they prove the Riemann hypothesis? soll am 1. Januar 2050 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Gary Marcus still say that deep learning models can't reason after they prove the Riemann hypothesis? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Gary Marcus has made a public statement suggesting that deep learning models are not capable of reasoning after a valid proof of the Riemann hypothesis has been made public.