Manifold MarketsGeschlossenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Yes (79.8%)
Entschieden: 11.10.2026, 05:01
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Gewinnausgang
Yes
7 Tage vorher
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24 Stunden vorher
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Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 11.10.2026, 17:40 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Yes79%
No21%
Gewonnen
Verloren
Verwandte Märkte
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Specifically, will before September 2026, will there be a proof of a finitely presented discrete MF group?
- If so, this would negatively resolve a long-standing open question about if all groups are MF.
- This was described as a major open problem in group theory, and a “holy-grail” alongside two other questions.
- GPT 5.6 Sol says the question is equivalent to: “Can every countable group be faithfully approximated by finite-dimensional unitary matrices when the approximation error is measured in operator norm?”
- This question resolves YES if a proof is given this month and is generally considered valid.
- If it takes longer than August to verify but the proof was written in August, it still resolved YES.