Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the EU have another major treaty before 2035??

Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 59.4% (Stand: 29. Oktober 2026).

Wann wird Will the EU have another major treaty before 2035? entschieden?

Will the EU have another major treaty before 2035? soll am 31. Dezember 2034 entschieden werden.

Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriert

Aktuelle Community-Prognose

Ja 59.4%

Prognostiker

Fragetyp

binary

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden

Veraltet

2. Aug. 26, 17:22 UTC31. Dez. 34, 23:59 UTC

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Regeln

Resolves YES if there is strong evidence that the European Union agrees and signs a major new treaty before January 1st 2035.

A “major treaty” must amend, replace, or substantially supplement the EU’s primary constitutional framework, with changes comparable in significance to the Maastricht, Amsterdam, Nice, or Lisbon Treaties.
Qualifying changes may include substantial reforms to EU institutions, decision-making or voting rules, the division of powers between the EU and member states, fiscal integration, defence policy, enlargement procedures, or membership and withdrawal rules.
The treaty must have a finalized text and be formally signed by representatives of all EU member states before the deadline.
It does not need to have entered into force or completed national ratification by that date.
The following do not qualify on their own: accession or withdrawal treaties, trade agreements, ordinary legislative acts, non-binding declarations, limited technical amendments, treaties involving only a subset of EU member states, or agreements that do not materially alter the EU’s primary legal framework.