Will Ukraine sign an EU Accession Treaty by December 2027?
PolitikOne-OffGeopolitikRussland / UkraineEuropa1J
FutuurVerfügbarkeit prüfenVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 93%
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32 / 100
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This market predicts whether Ukraine will sign an Accession Treaty with the European Union before December 31, 2027 (23:59 UTC).
- An Accession Treaty is the formal treaty document signed by EU member states and the acceding country that culminates EU enlargement negotiations and, once ratified by all parties, makes Ukraine a member of the European Union.
- If Ukraine and the European Union sign such an Accession Treaty on or before the deadline, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Preliminary instruments do not count toward a “Yes” resolution, such as the EU-Ukraine Association Agreement (2014), the granting of candidate status (June 2022), the opening of accession negotiations (June 2024), and the closing of individual negotiating chapters.
- The Accession Treaty must be signed by both Ukrainian representatives and EU representatives in an official ceremony recognized by the European Council.
