Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 89.7%
Prognostiker
18
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert24. Dez. 25, 04:42 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:41 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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PolymarketWill Trump release more Epstein files in Oct 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- The FBI has confirmed the alleged letter from Jeffrey Epstein to Larry Nassar is fake, as of December 23, 2025.
- This market resolves YES if any credible evidence emerges that contradicts the FBI's determination and proves the letter is authentic.
- This would require either: (1) a formal reversal of the FBI's conclusion with documented evidence, or (2) independent forensic analysis from a recognized authority that definitively establishes the letter's authenticity.
- The market resolves NO if the FBI's determination stands without credible contradiction.
- A letter appearing to have been written by Jeffrey Epstein to serial sex abuser Larry Nassar, a former Michigan State University doctor, was among documents released by the U.S. Department of Justice, with the letter submitted by the FBI for handwriting analysis on July 31, 2020, after Epstein died in August 2019.