Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 95.2%
Prognostiker
19
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet4. Apr. 24, 18:28 UTC1. Jan. 31, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will someone die aboard a SpaceX rocket before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsMTV Video Music Awards 2026: Who will perform
KalshiWho Will Perform at Harry Styles’ MSG Residency?
KalshiWho will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?
KalshiWill SpaceX perform Falcon 9 commercial rocket launches after 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill China land someone on the moon on this year?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
@/strutheo/will-someone-perform-a-wedding-cere-e05fcf443bd3
- There has been only one marriage ceremony performed in space.
- In August, 2003, Russian cosmonaut Yuri Malenchenko married his fiancée Yekaterina Dmitriyeva while he was part of the crew of ISS Expedition 7
Offene Märkte
Space
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt88%
- OpenAI-1.7pt10%
- Google2%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 85.315,7 €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes59.4%
- No40.6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 153.550,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 39.161,6 €
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- October 3197%
- Successful splash down?84%
- September 30-5.3pt83%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 409.901,9 €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.3pt59.8%
- SpaceX-4.5pt38.1%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-1.0pt84%
- Above 9-27.0pt46%
- Above 10-8.0pt23%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- AI data center in space by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will someone perform a wedding ceremony on the moon by the end of 2030??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 95% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will someone perform a wedding ceremony on the moon by the end of 2030? entschieden?
- Will someone perform a wedding ceremony on the moon by the end of 2030? soll am 1. Januar 2031 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will someone perform a wedding ceremony on the moon by the end of 2030? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: @/strutheo/will-someone-perform-a-wedding-cere-e05fcf443bd3