Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Anthropic 78.3%+8.0ptFührend unter 18 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
66 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
2766,8 €
Liquidität
32.495,5 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
5.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+12.1 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
20. Juli 26, 23:10 UTC1. Okt. 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
PolymarketSecond-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
PolymarketThird-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
PolymarketWhich company will have the best AI model at the end of 2026?
FutuurWhich models will GPT-6 Astra be higher than on arena.ai agent arena on the 12th September?
Manifold MarketsMajor company suffers serious damage from AI agent in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
- Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard.
- If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”).
- This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
