PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 89.1%
Marktqualitat
70 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
234,4 €
Liquidität
16.396,9 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
89.0% / 90.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger Spread7d-Änderung
+2.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
12. Dez. 25, 18:2931. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes90%
Plattformen vergleichen· Yes
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Mittel | 90% | — | 234,4 € | 16.396,9 € | vor 7 Minuten | |
 Manifold Markets93% Übereinstimmung · auto | — | 91% | — | — | — | vor 48 Tagen | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Apple to release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
5Mon
90.9%
9.1%
Community-Prognose139 PrognostikerTyp: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe.
- An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
- A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$2672. Juli28T Daten29. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Elon Musk # tweets July 24 - July 31, 2026?
377.845,4 €220-239: 34%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets July 27 - July 29, 2026?
376.645,5 €40-64: 91%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets July 28 - August 4, 2026?
129.534,3 €160-179: 16%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Where will it rain on Jul 29, 2026?
74.826,1 €Las Vegas: 3%
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Rain in Miami in Jul 2026?
37.809,7 €Above 5 inches: 41%KALSHI
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What will Meta say during their next earnings call?
22.465,1 €Llama: 41%KALSHI
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe.
- An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
- A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple.