Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Meta 66.3%+0.8ptFührend unter 21 Optionen
Marktqualitat
66 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
2684,7 €
Liquidität
23.741,8 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
5.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-9.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
25. Juli 26, 00:18 UTC1. Okt. 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
0%
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0%
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Third-best AI Lab end of October?
PolymarketThird-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
PolymarketThird-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
PolymarketBest AI in Sep 2026?
KalshiBest AI time horizon by August 2026, per METR?
Manifold MarketsWhich company will have the best AI model at the end of 2026?
FutuurRegeln
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
- AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time.
- If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
- If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”).
Offene Märkte
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 14, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,500 or above99%
- $74,250 or above99%
- $73,250 or above99%
+77 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 685.146,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 680.918,8 €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 12 - September 14, 2026?
- 65-89+50.5pt56.4%
- 40-64-6.6pt41.6%
- 90-114+1.6pt2%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No74.1%
- Yes25.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 303.691,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 298.844,5 €
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 75,000 to 79,999.99+0.4pt13.9%
- 70,000 to 74,999.99+0.4pt12%
- 80,000 to 84,999.99+1.7pt12%
+25 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- 180-199+4.0pt24.5%
- 200-219+10.0pt24.5%
- 220-239+7.0pt15.7%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $66,000 or above98%
- $67,000 or above98%
- $65,500 or above97%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 452.589,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 142.964,8 €
- NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - Daily
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Where will it rain on Sep 14, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 14, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 14, 2026?
- BTC 15 min · $77,736.55 target
- ETH price on Sep 14, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Third-best AI Lab end of September??
- Polymarket bewertet Meta mit 66% (Stand: 14. September 2026).
- Wann wird Third-best AI Lab end of September? entschieden?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September? soll am 1. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Third-best AI Lab end of September? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.