Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 68.8%
Prognostiker
14
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet29. März 24, 10:39 UTC31. Dez. 45, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will SBF be released from prison before Donald Trump dies
Manifold MarketsWhich people will say that AGI has been achieved, by EOY 2030?
Manifold MarketsIf Manifold deems AGI to have been achieved, will Manifold also agree that the singularity has occurred?
Manifold MarketsImran Khan released from prison by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketSBF released from custody in 2026?
PolymarketMaduro Prison Time?
PolymarketRegeln
AGI will be taken from other markets on manifold resolving
Offene Märkte
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 8634,7 €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-5.5pt16%
- 2026+0.2pt5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 503.290,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 7632,6 €
POLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+5.5pt70.3%
- Yes-5.5pt29.7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 353.164,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6044,6 €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 3128%
- October 31+1.0pt14%
- September 30-1.0pt6%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+0.5pt42.2%
- 60++2.5pt39.2%
- 20–40+2.8pt10.8%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWho will be arrested in 2026?
- John Brennan-2.0pt22%
- Mahmoud Khalil17%
- José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero+2.0pt15%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mio. €
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Who will be arrested before 2027?
- Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
- Jessica Tisch out as New York City Police Commissioner by which date?
- Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will SBF be released from prison before AGI is achieved?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 69% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will SBF be released from prison before AGI is achieved entschieden?
- Will SBF be released from prison before AGI is achieved soll am 31. Dezember 2045 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will SBF be released from prison before AGI is achieved abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: AGI will be taken from other markets on manifold resolving