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Veraltet22. Dez. 23, 10:26 UTC1. Jan. 30, 21:59 UTC
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Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Luigi Mangione publish a book before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Nassim Taleb publish a new book in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Nilered publish a video where he turns air into diamonds by the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Nilered publish a video about turning Lead into Gold by the end of 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiRegeln
will Resolve YES: if a new book in the series of "what if" by Randall Munroe is out by 2030, even if the book is named something other than "what if 3" but focuses on answering hypothetical questions will Resolve NO: as long as he don't publish book with this focus will resolve no, even if he publishes books with different focus (such as "How to" or "thing explainer")