Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 10:05 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 96.3%
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126
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet20. Aug. 23, 18:26 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Putin still be in power when Xi Jinping leaves power?
Manifold MarketsWill Putin still be in power on January 1, 2029
Manifold MarketsWill Putin still be Russia's President when the war in Ukraine ends?
Manifold MarketsWill Amanda Askell still be a power at Anthropic, EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill credible evidence emerge linking Tulsi Gabbard to Putin before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia introduce exit visas by the end of 2026
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolves YES if Vladimir Putin is still in power at 11:59 PM on December 31st, 2026.
- Resolves NO if Vladimir Putin is:
- 1- Deposed via coup or loses re-election.
- 2- De facto out of power due to illness, injury, or other extraordinary circumstances, being replaced by an Acting President.
- 3- Putin dies, regardless of cause of death.
