Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 97.3%
Prognostiker
127
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
20. Aug. 23, 18:26 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Putin still be in power when Xi Jinping leaves power?
Manifold MarketsWill Putin still be in power on January 1, 2029
Manifold MarketsWill Putin still be Russia's President when the war in Ukraine ends?
Manifold MarketsWill Amanda Askell still be a power at Anthropic, EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill France cut off funding to Ukraine in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Vladimir Putin stop being president of Russia before Volodymyr Zelensky stops being president of Ukraine?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolves YES if Vladimir Putin is still in power at 11:59 PM on December 31st, 2026.
- Resolves NO if Vladimir Putin is:
- 1- Deposed via coup or loses re-election.
- 2- De facto out of power due to illness, injury, or other extraordinary circumstances, being replaced by an Acting President.
- 3- Putin dies, regardless of cause of death.
