Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 74.3%
Prognostiker
251
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet17. Feb. 26, 04:15 UTC31. Dez. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Amanda Askell have a Wikipedia page throughout December 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Eliezer Yudkowsky be collaborating with Anthropic by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the US government functionally seize control of Anthropic by EOY2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Putin still be in power by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiRegeln
This market resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2027, Amanda Askell is employed at Anthropic, and holds a position of comparable influence to her current role writing Claude's constitution.
- If Askell has left Anthropic or been significantly demoted / sideways-promoted, the market resolves NO.
- If her role has evolved but maintains equivalent strategic influence over Claude's development and values, it resolves YES.
- (Description edited from AI generation.)