Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 99%
Prognostiker
5
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet6. Aug. 26, 00:37 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Anthropic release a new line of models by the end of the year?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic release a new line of models by the end of the year?
Manifold MarketsWhen will OpenAI release Astra 6.1+?
KalshiOn what date will OpenAI release GPT-6.2 Astra?
Manifold MarketsWhen will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?
KalshiWhen will OpenAI release GPT-7?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if OpenAI officially releases a new model family to the general public or via its developer API on or before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM PT.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- For the purposes of this market, a "new model family" is defined as:
- Any model officially designated under the GPT-6 lineage (e.g., GPT-6, GPT-6o, GPT-6-mini).
- The official public or API release of the "Astra" model family (regardless of whether it is branded as "Astra," GPT-6, or another major name).
