Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 86.7%
Prognostiker
12
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert10. Aug. 26, 10:21 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Anthropic release a new line of models by the end of the year?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI release a new line of models by the end of the year?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Anthropic release Mythos?
KalshiWhen will Anthropic release Claude 6?
KalshiWhen will Anthropic release Opus 6?
KalshiWhich months will Google OR OpenAI OR Anthropic release a new LLM
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market resolves to YES if, between the market's creation and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM PT, Anthropic officially releases a new, distinct model line that does not belong to any of the following four existing categories:
- Claude Haiku
- Claude Sonnet
- Claude Fable
- An "officially released model line" is defined as a model announced via Anthropic's official communication channels (such as the Anthropic News Page or official developer documentation) featuring entirely new branding or tier classifications distinct from the four categories listed above.
- Clarifications and Edge Cases:
