Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google acquire or take a controlling stake in a broker-dealer by the end of 2027?
RegulierungKIOne-OffCorporate ActionsTechnik1JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 80.1%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
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Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet11. Mai 26, 16:21 UTC31. Dez. 27, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
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KalshiRegeln
Resolution Criteria
- This question resolves YES if, on or before 2027-12-31, OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, Alphabet, or one of their controlled subsidiaries:
- acquires a registered broker-dealer,
- takes a controlling equity stake in a broker-dealer,
- obtains majority voting control of a broker-dealer, or
- otherwise assumes operational control of a broker-dealer.
Offene Märkte
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 12,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 182.343,6 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
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- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,4 Mio. €
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.4%
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google acquire or take a controlling stake in a broker-dealer by the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 80% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google acquire or take a controlling stake in a broker-dealer by the end of 2027? entschieden?
- Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google acquire or take a controlling stake in a broker-dealer by the end of 2027? soll am 31. Dezember 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google acquire or take a controlling stake in a broker-dealer by the end of 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution Criteria