Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 50.8%
Prognostiker
24
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Stunden
Veraltet19. Feb. 24, 04:04 UTC16. Jan. 40, 06:59 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Nick Fuentes become President of the United States before 2045?
KalshiNick Fuentes federally charged?
PolymarketNick Fuentes and Sophie Rain confirmed relationship by September 30?
Polymarketwill a nick fuentes sex tape with gay acts release this year as milo claims?
Manifold MarketsFed decision in Sep 2026?
KalshiFed Decision in September?
PolymarketRegeln
Fed = agent or informant of any federal law enforcement agency.
- If Fuentes claims to be a Fed and it is not confirmed by the relevant agency, I will resolve Yes after three months unless there is strong disproving evidence.
- If Fuentes does not admit it and I consider the evidence inconclusive, I will resolve to No.
Offene Märkte
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt44.1%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 34,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,6 Mio. €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt54.5%
- No change-3.0pt44.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt51%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.6%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before 2028+1.0pt85%
- Before July 2027+5.0pt84%
- Before 202773%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 3,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 45.525,8 €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt2%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No87%
- Yes+3.8pt13%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 997.035,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 41.181,8 €
- Fed Decision in October?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Nick Fuentes be revealed to be a Fed before 2040??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 51% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Nick Fuentes be revealed to be a Fed before 2040? entschieden?
- Will Nick Fuentes be revealed to be a Fed before 2040? soll am 16. Januar 2040 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Nick Fuentes be revealed to be a Fed before 2040? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Fed = agent or informant of any federal law enforcement agency.