Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 81.4%
Prognostiker
27
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet23. Juli 26, 02:27 UTC1. Jan. 35, 03:24 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will Isaac King's "Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?" market resolve?
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PolymarketIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
See: @/IsaacKing/if-i-set-my-curtain-on-fire-and-don
- Resolves whenever that market resolves.
- If it gets extended, so will this market.
- If Isaac sets his curtain on fire for at least 1 minute, this resolves YES.
- If Isaac sets his curtain on fire for less than a minute, it will resolve to whatever percentage of a minute the curtain was on fire for (e.g. 30 seconds = 50%).
- If Isaac sets his curtain on fire for less than a minute, but does not know/did not record how long, it will resolve NO.
