Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 83.6%
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9
Fragetyp
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
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Aktualisiert vor 17 Stunden
Veraltet25. Jan. 26, 07:03 UTC31. Dez. 29, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Brigitte Macron wins defamation suit against Candace Owens before 2028?
KalshiMacron vs Owens: Who wins the defamation lawsuit?
MyriadWill Ubuntu be sued in Brazil?
Manifold MarketsWill Lantern Bioworks be sued over harm caused by their Lumina treatment by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill an emergency service provider be sued because of an AI system by eoy2027?
Manifold MarketsIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
I strongly dislike people who (I feel) abuse the legal system.
- My typical response to threats to sue for defamation is to refuse, and perhaps publish even more negative information about that party in response.
- (My two brushes with the risk so far have been my TCG-Con article where they threatened to sue me and never followed through, and my tangential involvement with the vexatious litigant Oliver Smith; I offered to host on my website one of the articles that he kept trying to get taken down via legal threats, but ended up not doing this because it stayed up elsewhere.)
- This has not caused any problems for me so far, and nobody has ever actually sued me.
- However, that may not remain the case forever.
- I will include for this purposes of this market suits that are technically not "for defamation", but are clearly in response to me publishing information that the other party did not like.
Offene Märkte
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 10,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 25.772,5 €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31-2.0pt25%
- October 31-2.5pt11%
- September 30-0.6pt3%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWho will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- John Brennan-1.0pt52%
- Leon Black31%
- Anthony Fauci-4.0pt25%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,4 Mio. €
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+23.0pt76.5%
- 60+-23.0pt13.3%
- <20-1.4pt8.2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWho will be arrested before 2027?
- John Brennan27%
- Mahmoud Khalil+0.5pt19%
- James Clapper12%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 377.329 €
POLYMARKETSBF released from custody in 2026?
- No-0.1pt98%
- Yes+0.1pt2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 398.381,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1742,8 €
- Jimmy Lai released by which date?
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- Jack Doherty Prison Time?
- Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?
- Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by which date?
- Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will I be sued for defamation before the end of the decade??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 84% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will I be sued for defamation before the end of the decade? entschieden?
- Will I be sued for defamation before the end of the decade? soll am 31. Dezember 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will I be sued for defamation before the end of the decade? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: I strongly dislike people who (I feel) abuse the legal system.