Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 58.6%
Prognostiker
1
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet6. Apr. 26, 18:23 UTC31. Dez. 27, 05:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will China have active export controls on silicon metal (MG-Si) on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China have active export controls on zirconium oxychloride (ZOC) on December 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill China have active, unresumed export controls on graphite anode material (HS 3801.10/3801.90) on December 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill China's MOFCOM samarium export controls be actively in force on December 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
This market resolves YES if China has active export controls on silicon metal (MG-Si, HS 2804.69) on December 31, 2027.
- YES if: Active MOFCOM licensing, quota, or ban on MG-Si in effect on Dec 31, 2027 NO if: MG-Si exports proceed under normal MFN conditions
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- China MOFCOM export control registry
- US Department of Commerce / BIS China trade policy updates
- Reuters, Bloomberg, FT China trade reporting