Will China's MOFCOM samarium export controls be actively in force on December 31, 2027?
ChinaOne-Off1JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 67.5%
Prognostiker
2
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet8. Apr. 26, 14:17 UTC31. Dez. 27, 05:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will China's MOFCOM samarium export controls be actively in force on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China's MOFCOM samarium export controls be actively in force on June 30, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill China have active export controls on silicon metal (MG-Si) on December 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill China have active, unresumed export controls on graphite anode material (HS 3801.10/3801.90) on December 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWorlds 2026 Winning Region
PolymarketXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
This market resolves YES if China's MOFCOM export license requirement for samarium (Sm), samarium oxide (Sm2O3), and samarium alloys is actively enforced on December 31, 2027 — i.e., exporters must obtain an export license under MOFCOM Decree No. 18 or equivalent order.
- YES if: Export licenses are required for samarium as of December 31, 2027 NO if: Controls are suspended or permanently rescinded on December 31, 2027
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- MOFCOM official gazette (mofcom.gov.cn) — export control announcements
- China Ministry of Commerce policy announcements
- Reuters / Bloomberg reporting on China rare earth export policy
