Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 87.1%
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Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet6. Dez. 25, 11:10 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
PolymarketWhat will be the most-used AI chatbot by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill openAI retain >50% chatbot market share through 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI chatbot overtake Google as the most used search engine by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a romantic relationship with an AI chatbot comprise 25% of all relationships within the USA before the year 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves to this site: AI Chatbot Market Share Worldwide | Statcounter Global Stats
- ChatGPT has steadily held 80% market share according to that site.
- Update 2026-02-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Market resolves YES if ChatGPT falls below 75% market share at any point during 2026 (not just at year-end), as measured on the linked Statcounter site for all platforms worldwide.
- Update 2026-10-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve using the monthly time series from the linked Statcounter site.