Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 61.5%
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
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Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet11. Sept. 25, 00:04 UTC11. Sept. 35, 00:04 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will rapper d4vd receive the death penalty?
Manifold MarketsWhat's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter
Manifold MarketsWill multiple people be charged for Charlie Kirk’s death?
Manifold MarketsTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRegeln
Update 2025-09-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If Tyler Robinson is not the killer, the market will wait until the actual killer is identified.
- Dying in prison is not receiving the death penalty.
- Update 2025-09-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Requires actual execution: Resolves YES only if the killer is put to death via capital punishment (e.g., firing squad, lethal injection).
- A death sentence without execution does not count.
Offene Märkte
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+4.5pt65%
- Yes-4.5pt35%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 347.549,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 27.385,2 €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026+0.1pt5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 497.379,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 12.478 €
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Yes+2.0pt83.2%
- No-2.0pt16.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 675.987,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 8196,4 €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 4566,5 €
KALSHIWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- No84%
- Yes-1.0pt16%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 577.193,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 3664,6 €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.5pt7%
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- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
- Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Charlie Kirk's killer receive the death penalty??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 62% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Charlie Kirk's killer receive the death penalty? entschieden?
- Will Charlie Kirk's killer receive the death penalty? soll am 11. September 2035 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Charlie Kirk's killer receive the death penalty? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Update 2025-09-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If Tyler Robinson is not the killer, the market will wait until the actual killer is identified.