Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 55.3%
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Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
17. Juni 26, 07:17 UTC11. Sept. 26, 12:25 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
KalshiWill August 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsWill September 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsWill November 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsCore CPI MoM - August 2026
PolymarketWill the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.4% in August 2026?
ForecastExRegeln
This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Consumer Price Index release for August 2026 reports that core CPI-U rose 0.3% or more month-over-month on a seasonally adjusted basis.
- Use the all-items less food and energy Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), BLS series CUSR0000SA0L1E, and the seasonally adjusted percent change from July 2026 to August 2026 in the first BLS August 2026 CPI release.
- Resolve NO if that seasonally adjusted month-over-month change is 0.2% or lower.
- Do not use headline CPI, year-over-year CPI, PCE, PPI, not-seasonally-adjusted monthly change, real earnings, or later annual revisions unless BLS corrects the initial August 2026 release before resolution.
- If the August 2026 CPI release is delayed, wait for the first BLS release of the August 2026 figure unless there is no BLS August 2026 CPI release by September 18, 2026, in which case resolve N/A. Creation context: {"latest_official_context": {"core_cpi_u_may_2026_mom_sa": 0.2, "headline_cpi_u_may_2026_mom_sa": 0.5, "headline_cpi_u_may_2026_yoy": 4.2, "note": "At creation time, June/July/August 2026 CPI releases were still future releases.
- The latest official CPI release available was May 2026.", "release": "Consumer Price Index, May 2026"}, "metric": "Seasonally adjusted all-items less food and energy CPI-U percent change from July 2026 to August 2026", "related_non_duplicates": ["May, June, and July 2026 CPI markets are different reference-month markets.", "Headline CPI, year-over-year CPI, PCE inflation, PPI, and real-earnings markets are not duplicates.", "Calendar-year inflation markets are not duplicates of a single-month core CPI-U MoM threshold."], "release_schedule": "BLS's CPI release schedule lists the August 2026 reference month for Friday, September 11, 2026 at 08:30 Eastern.", "resolver_surface": "Initial BLS Consumer Price Index release for August 2026", "series": "CUSR0000SA0L1E", "source_fetch_caveat": "Official BLS pages were verified via web/search tooling before creation; BLS pages can return HTTP 403 or time out from raw Python requests on this host.", "threshold": "+0.3% month-over-month or higher"}.
Offene Märkte
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 89,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,7 Mio. €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 541.193 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 30.705,7 €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 334.228 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 12.782,3 €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt53.9%
- September Meeting+1.0pt46.1%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.5pt51.4%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.3%
- 0.1%-1.5pt10.5%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 77.923 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 5527,9 €
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- August Inflation US - Annual
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will August 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 55% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will August 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month? entschieden?
- Will August 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month? soll am 11. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will August 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Consumer Price Index release for August 2026 reports that core CPI-U rose 0.3% or more month-over-month on a seasonally adjusted basis.