Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 95.9%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet18. Dez. 23, 00:08 UTC1. Feb. 32, 06:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Artemis 3 return to Earth with all of its crew alive?
Manifold MarketsWill Artemis 4 return to Earth with all of its crew alive?
Manifold MarketsWill the first person to land on Mars ever return to Earth?
Manifold MarketsNASA's mission Artemis 3 to land the first woman and the next man on the Moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiRegeln
This market closes when Artemis 5 returns to Earth (resolves YES), a member of its crew dies during the mission (resolves NO), or the mission is scrapped before T–0 (resolves N/A), whichever occurs first.
- Related markets: @/jks/will-artemis-2-return-to-earth-with
- @/jks/will-artemis-3-return-to-earth-with
- @/jks/will-artemis-4-return-to-earth-with
- @/jks/will-artemis-5-return-to-earth-with (this question)
- @/jks/will-artemis-6-return-to-earth-with
Offene Märkte
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 103.065,4 €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 57.371,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 57.371,5 €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 817.857 €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Artemis 5 return to Earth with all of its crew alive??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 96% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Artemis 5 return to Earth with all of its crew alive? entschieden?
- Will Artemis 5 return to Earth with all of its crew alive? soll am 1. Februar 2032 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Artemis 5 return to Earth with all of its crew alive? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market closes when Artemis 5 returns to Earth (resolves YES), a member of its crew dies during the mission (resolves NO), or the mission is scrapped before T–0 (resolves N/A), whichever occurs first.