Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 93.9%
Prognostiker
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
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Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
3. Apr. 23, 21:35 UTC1. Jan. 31, 12:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will ICE change its name in 2026?
KalshiWill Congress officially change the name of the Kennedy Center to honor Trump in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran change it's name to Persia in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWill any portion of Greenland become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExWill any portion of Alberta become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExRegeln
Resolves to YES if any US state changes its name on or before 31 December 2030.
- A state changing its full name (like Rhode Island dropping "and the Providence Plantations") DOES count.
- New states joining do not automatically count, only if they subsequently change their name (e.g. if Washington D.C. joins as "Jefferson", that is not enough to resolve to YES).
- The name change does not need to go into force by the end of 2030, as long as it is fully approved (e.g. by a law or a ballot measure).
Offene Märkte
Politics
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will any US state change its name by the end of 2030??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 94% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will any US state change its name by the end of 2030? entschieden?
- Will any US state change its name by the end of 2030? soll am 1. Januar 2031 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will any US state change its name by the end of 2030? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves to YES if any US state changes its name on or before 31 December 2030.